\input style \chapnotrue\chapno=5\subchno=4\subsubchno=5 \subsubchap{ } % 5.4.6 . , , , . , , ; , , . . , . - . \section . , , . ~\MIXT, , . , ~\MIXT, , . \MIXT{} 800~ 75~ . 풎 , ~1/60~, .~.~$16{2\over3}$~, . [ , , ~200 ~1600 ~$37{1\over2}$ ~$150$~ , \MIXT{} ~$1\over8$ ~4. , , . , , . , , .] , , , . %%379 2400~ ; , \MIXT{} $23\,000\,000$~, , , $23\,000\,000/3\,600\,000\approx 6.4$~. , . 풎 , ~$S$, , , . \picture{.~79. .} ~$S>5000$ , 5000~. ዅ, , ~$S\to\infty$, . \emph{} (.~79), / . "", , "" , . , 50- , , ; , . ᎑ \emph{ } 480~, . , , (.~80); , , . "" . , \MIX, .~1, 100~, , 500~ 480~ %%380 , .~.\ ! ᅉ , . \picture{.~80. 爑 \MIXT{} .} 66~ . , . , \picture{ .~81. . ( , .) } , . ᓌ 5~, 2~ ~3 (.~81).   , %%381 , , , , , 780~ ~480. \emph{.} , , ~$n$. " ", , $n$~ 5~; ~$n$ /. \picture{ .~82. . } , ; , , ; . , \MIXT{} $\max (30, n/150)$~ $n$~ ( ), .~.\ , /. 풎 , / ~2 ~3, , (.~82). / , , , , 110~. , ; 32~ %%382 , , , . , . 瀑 \emph{ } ( ), , . . . , , , . --- : 30~ \MIXT{} "" , .   , . / , , /, ~20--40\% - " ". \section ፎ . $P\hbox{-}$ . , $P+1$~ . --- / , . , . , {\medskip\narrower \item{a)}~ ; \item{b)}~ ; \item{c)}~, , . \medskip} \noindent , $2P$~ 2~ , , , , . , ~(a) , . , %%383 , ; ~(b) , , . ዅ, , . , \emph{} (forecasting), . $P\hbox{-}$ ~$P$ " ", ; , . , , , , . , , , \emph{} . , , - , , . ~F . \alg F.( .) 풎 $P\hbox{-}$ ~$P\ge 2$. , ~1, 2,~\dots, $P$. $2P$~ ~$|I|[1]$,~\dots, $|I|[2P]$, ~$|O|[0]$ ~$|O|[1]$ : \descrtable{ $|A|[j]$, $1\le j \le 2P$: & $0$ ~$|I|[j]$ ; \hfill\penalty -10000 $1$ . \cr $|B|[i]$, $1\le i \le P$: & , ~$i$.\cr $|C|[i]$, $1\le i \le P$: & , ~$i$.\cr $|L|[i]$, $1\le i \le P$: & , ~$i$.\cr $|S|[j]$, $1\le j \le 2P$: & , , $|I|[j]$~. \cr } ; "" . \st[ .] ~$i$ ~$|I|[i]$, ~$|A|[i]\asg 1$, $|A|[P+i] \asg 0$, $|B|[i]\asg i$, $|C|[i]\asg i$ ~$|L|[i]$ ~$|I|[i]$ ~$1\le i \le P$. ~$m$, , %% 384 ~$L(m)=\min \set{|L|[1],~\ldots, |L|[P]}$, ~$t\asg 0$, $k\asg P+1$. ~$|I|[k]$. \st[ወ.] ወ ~$|I|[|C|[1]]$,~\dots, $|I|[|C|[P]]$ ~$|O|[t]$, ~$|O|[t]$ . - , ~$|I|[|C|[i]]$, , ~$|O|[t]$ , ~$|A|[|C|[i]]\asg 0$, $|C|[i]\asg |S|[|C|[i]]$ . \st[/ .] , ( /). ~$|A|[k]\asg 1$, $|S|[|B|[m]]\asg k$, $|B|[m]\asg k$ ~$|L|[m]$ ~$|I|[k]$. \st[.] ~$m$, , ~$|L|[m]=\min\set{|L|[1], ~\ldots, |L|[P]}$, ~$k$, , ~$|A|[k]=0$. \st[璅/.] ~$m$ ~$|I|[k]$ ~$|O|[t]$ , ~$t\asg 1-t$ ~\stp{2}. \algend \picture{.~83. .} .~84 , ~$P=2$ , . , ~F2. ~F, , $P$~\emph{ ,} $|C|[i]$~ $i\hbox{-}$~, $|B|[i]$--- , $|S|[j]$~ ~$I[j]$; .~84 . ᒐ~1 . , ~1 ( ~$03<05$). ᒐ~2 , : , "\boxit{\hbox{$01\ 02$}}", %%385 ~2 ( ~$05<09$). , ~3 , , ~2, . 풎 " " ~F, ~4, ~3 ~1 ~2. \picture{.~84. ~F.} 璎 ~F, : {\medskip\narrower \item{i)}~ (.~.\ ~$k$ ~F4); \item{ii)}~ , (.~.\ $|S|[|C|[i]$ ~F2 ). \medskip} \noindent , (i)~ , .~.\ , ~F4. , , $P$~ , .~.\ , , , $P$~, . , , ~$P$. $2P$~ , ~$P$ %% 386 . 풎 , $P$~ $P$~, . ; , (i)~e . , ~(ii) , .~.\ , . ᎃ , , , , - .   , $P-1$~; $P$~ ; . 품 ~F; , , - . , ; .~5. ~F , ~$|L|[m]$ ~$\infty$ ~F3, . ( .) , ~F4, ~$L$ ~$\infty$; , $P+1$~.   , , . ~F1, , ; ~F1 , . , , 1953~.\ .~.~. ဌ .~X.~䐝 [{\sl JACM,\/} {\bf 3} (1956), 144--145, 165]. $3P$~ , ; ~F , " " $P+1$~ , $2P$~. ወ $2P$~ . " --- %%387 ", / ; . \section ᐀ . , , .~5.4.2--5.4.5. "" . , 100~, 100000~ ( , , ). 5000~ , . , . ~100000, . ~A ( .~) , , . , , , : , , , , / , . $P\hbox{-}$ $P$~ , . , ~A , , ( , ), 30~. ~2, 3 ~4 " ", . . ( ~A .) \def\example #1. #2.{{\bf ~#1. #2.}} \example 1. ၀ . : 100~, 1000~ 5000~ (50~). $100\,000$~ (.~.\ $10\,000\,000$~, 2000~). %% 388 . 腑 , F 8~; , , , $1000/8=125$~ ( 12500~). (.~5.4.1), , , 50~ , 125~ . 풎 650~. , , 1300~ (10 11~); ~A 78~ , . , , ~4, ~4, 5 ~6. 풎 , ~6; ~$S$ , , ~4 $\ceil{S/9}$~, $\ceil{(S-3)/9}$--- ~5, $\ceil{(S-6)/9}$--- ~6. , .~5.4.2: $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}} \matrix{ 1^{26} & 1^{26} & 1^{26} & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr \emp & \emp & \emp & 3^9 & 3^9 & 3^8 \cr 9^3 & 9^3 & 9^26^1 & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr \emp & \emp & \emp & 27^1 & 27^1 & 24^1 \cr 78^1 & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr } $$ \example 2. . ~A ~5.4.2D. , 12~ 83~ . 50~ 83~, 734~ ; , 1468~ (17 18~). $S=70$~ , . ᕅ : %%389 $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}} \matrix{ 0^{13}1^{18} & 0^{13}1^{17} & 0^{13}1^{15} & 0^{12}1^{12} & 0^81^1 & \emp \cr 1^{15} & 1^{14} & 1^{12} & 1^8 & \emp & 0^8 1^4 2^1 5^3 \cr 1^7 & 1^6 & 1^4 & \emp & 4^8 & 1^4 2^1 5^3 \cr 1^3 & 1^2 & \emp & 8^4 & 4^4 & 2^1 5^3 \cr 1^1 & \emp & 16^1 19^1 & 8^2 & 4^2 & 5^2 \cr \emp & 34^1 & 19^1 & 8^1 & 4^1 & 5^1 \cr 70^1 & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr } $$ ㄈ, 25~ \emph{} , ! 풎 : \enumerate \li 풎 , ~$S=78$ ~3. 82~ , . \li 30~c 5~ . . 13~, 8~ ~6 , .   , , , /. \enumend \example 3. . 풎 , ~5.4.3. ወ : $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}} \matrix{ 1^{14} & 1^{15} & 1^{12} & 1^{14} & 1^{15} & \emp \cr 1^5 & 1^9 & \emp & 1^{14} & 1^{15} & 1^3 2^3 3^6 \cr 5^1 6^3 & 5^3 & 5^3 6^2 & \emp & 1^1 & 2^2 \cr \emp & 12^1 & 6^1 & 18^1 & 18^1 & 16^1 \cr 70^1 & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp\cr } $$ ( ~A, .) \example 4. . 풀 , .~5.4.2, . , 100~; 700~, %%390 , 72~ . . , ~5.4.2D, , : $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}} \matrix{ 1^{21} & 1^{19} & 1^{15} & 1^8 & \emp & 0^2 1^9 \cr 0^2 1^{17} & 0^2 1^{15} & 0^2 1^{11} & 0^2 1^4 & \emp & 0^2 1^9 4^4 \cr 1^{13} & 1^{11} & 1^7 & \emp & 0^2 4^4 & 0^2 1^9 4^4 \cr 1^{10} & 1^8 & 1^4 & \emp & 0^2 4^4 3^2 4^1 & 1^8 4^4 \cr 1^6 & 1^4 & \emp & 4^4 & 0^2 4^4 3^2 4^1 & 1^4 4^4 \cr 1^5 & 1^3 & \emp & 4^4 3^1 & 0^1 4^4 3^2 4^1 & 1^3 4^4 \cr 1^2 & \emp & 3^1 7^2 & 4^4 3^1 & 4^2 3^2 4^1 & 4^4 \cr 1^1 & \emp & 3^1 7^2 13^1 & 4^3 3^1 & 4^1 3^2 4^1 & 4^3 \cr \emp & 13^1 & 3^1 7^2 13^1 & 4^2 3^1 & 3^2 4^1 & 4^2 \cr \emp & 13^1 14^1 & 7^2 13^1 & 4^1 3^1 & 3^1 4^1 & 4^1 \cr 18^1 & 13^1 14^1 & 7^1 13^1 & 3^1 & 4^1 & \emp \cr 18^1 & 14^1 & 13^1 & \emp & \emp & 27^1 \cr \emp & \emp & \emp & 72^1 & \emp & \emp \cr } $$ ᐅ ~A, , , , .   $S$~ , , (.~.~5.4.2-26). \example 5. . 풀 , , . , ~5.4.3C, ~$T=5$, ~$T=6$. "" , , . , : $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}} \matrix{ 1^{21} & 1^{22} & 1^{19} & 1^{10} & \emp & \emp \cr 1^4 & 1^7 & \emp & \emp & 1^2 2^2 3^5 & 4^{10} \cr 7^2 & \emp & 8^3 & 7^2 8^2& \emp & 4^1 \cr \emp & 26^1 & \emp & 8^1 & 22^1 & 16^1 \cr 72^1 & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr } $$ \example 6. ၀ . 풎 ~1, : %% 391 $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}} \matrix{ A_1^{26} & A_1^{26} & A_1^{26} & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr \emp & \emp & \emp & D_3^9 & D_3^9 & D_3^8 \cr A_9^3 & A_9^3 & A_9^2 A_6^1 & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr \emp & \emp & \emp & D_{24}^1 & D_{27}^1 & D_{27}^1 \cr A_{78}^1 & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr } $$   ~1 , , . 䀊 , ~$S=78$. \example 7. . , .   , , ~4 ~5. , ~5.4.2D, , ~1 , . ~1; ~2, 3, 4; ~2, 3, 4; ~1, 2, 3 ~.~. , , , 77~ ~72 ~4 ~5. 풀 $(22, 21, 19, 15)$~, ---$(29, 56, 52, 44)$. ㏐~5.4.4-5 , , "" ; , , $S$~ . ~A (.~.~7). . \example 8. . ~7, . 풀 ~5.4.3C, , ( \MIXT). , , , ~6. ~$\downarrow$ , : %%392 $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}}\def\da{\downarrow} \matrix{ A_1^{21} & A_1^{22} & A_1^{19} & A_1^{10} & \emp\cr A_1^4\da & A_1^7\da & \emp & \hbox{}_1^2 D_2^2 D_3^5 & D_4^{10} \cr A_8 A_7^2 & A_5^2 & A_9^4 & \emp & D_4^1\da \cr \emp & D_{17} & A_9\da & D_{25} & D_{21} \cr } $$ \example 9. . ~$T=5$ (~5.4.5B) , ~4, 5, 7 ~8, . , ~700 ( ~1400), . ዅ, 85~ ~72. : $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}} \matrix{ \emp & A_1 & A_1 A_1 & A_1 A_1 & A_1 A_1 \cr D_4 & \emp & A_1 & A_1 & A_1 \cr \multispan{5}\dotfill\cr D_4 D_4 & D_4 D_4 & D_4 D_4 & D_4 & \emp \cr D_4 & D_4 & D_4 & \emp & A_{16} \cr \multispan{5}\dotfill\cr D_4 & A_{16} D_4 D_4 & A_{16} D_4 & A_{16} D_4 A_1 & A_{16} \cr D_4 & A_{16} D_4 D_4 & A_{16} D_4 D_1 & A_{16} D_4 & A_{16} \cr \emp & A_{16} D_4 & A_{16} D_4 & A_{16} & A_{16} A_{13} \cr \emp & A_{16} D_4 & A_{16} & A_{16} A_4 & A_{16} A_{13} \cr \emp & A_{16} & A_{16} A_4 & A_{16} A_4 & A_{16} A_{13} \cr D_{37} & \emp & A_{16}\downarrow & A_{16}\downarrow & A_{16}\downarrow \cr \emp & A_{85} & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr } $$ \example 10. . , . ዅ, 1000~ ( ) , ; ~$S=100$. : %%393 $$\def\emp{\hbox{---}} \matrix{ A_1 & A_1 & A_1 & A_1 & A_1 \cr \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp & A_1 A_4 \cr \multispan{5} \dotfill\cr A_1 & A_1 & A_1 & A_1 & A_1 A_4 \cr \emp & \emp & \emp & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4\cr \emp & \emp & \emp & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 \cr \multispan{5} \dotfill\cr A_1 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 \cr A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 \cr A_1 A_4 A_{16} & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr \multispan{5} \dotfill\cr \emp & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 A_{16} A_{64} \cr A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 & A_1 A_4 A_{16} A_{64} \cr A_4 A_{16} & \emp & \emp & \emp & A_1 A_4 A_{16} A_{64} \cr A_4 A_{16} & A_4 & \emp & \emp & A_1 A_4 A_{16} A_{64} \cr \emp & \emp & \emp & A_{36} & A_1 A_4 A_{16} A_{64} \cr A_{100} & \emp & \emp & \emp & \emp \cr } $$ 풀 - , , ( ). \section . , , \MIXT. , ~A, ? , , , , .~70, 74 ~78. 품 , (.~85). \emph{} , , , ; , " ", ; . - %%394 , . , .~85 , , , ~$\alpha \ln S+\beta$. ዅ, . , , . , --- , . \picture{.~85. .} : $$\descralign{ N=& ;\cr C=& ; \cr M=& ( ~$C$);\cr \tau=& , , ; \cr %% 395 \rho\tau=& ; \cr \sigma\tau=& ; \cr \gamma=& ;\cr \delta=& , ; \cr B_i=& ; \cr B_o=& .\cr } $$ \MIXT{} $\tau=1/60\,000$, $\rho=2/5$, $\sigma=300$, $\gamma=480$. , , $N=100\,000$, $C=100$, $M=100\,000$, $B_i=B_o=5000$, $\delta=30$. ( , ~$\rho$). , : $$\descralign{ P=& ; \cr P'=& ;\cr S=& ;\cr \pi=\alpha\ln S+\beta=& , ;\cr \pi'=\alpha'\ln S+\beta'=& ;\cr B=& ;\cr \omega_i, \omega, \omega_o=&" "--- , ( ), ~$\tau$.\cr } $$ ~A $$ B=\floor{{M\over C(2P+2)}}C, \eqno(1) $$ , ~F. (璎 , ~$P$ , ~(1) ~$B\ge B_o$.) , , $$ P'=(M-2B_i-2B)/C. \eqno(2) $$ , %%396 .~5.4.1, $$ S\approx \ceil{{N\over 2P'}+{7\over 6}}. \eqno(3) $$ , ~$B_i1667$~, . ♀ , ( ) . , : %%397 $P\hbox{-}$ , $P$ . \item{b)}~\emph{, ~$B$ , ~(1)?} ~$\omega$ ~(5), ~$S$, $P'$~. , , ~$x=CP'$, $$ \left(\theta_1\ln \left({N\over x}+{7\over 6}\right)+\theta_2\right) \left({\theta_3-x\over \theta_4-x}\right) \eqno(8) $$ ~$\theta_1$, $\theta_2$, $\theta_3$, $\theta_4$, ~$\theta_3>\theta_4$. ~$x$ , ~$N_0$, , ~$N\ge N_0$ ~$x$ . , ~A, $N_0$~, , ~$10\,000$; $10\,000$~ . , , , $S$~ ~$P$. ~$N$, , ~$S$ ~$P$. , ~A ~$12\,500$, ~$S=78$. 풎 , $S$~ ~82, . \medskip} \section 䎐 . ~A, , . $$ N C \omega_i \tau + (\pi+\rho\pi')N C \omega \tau + (1+\rho)N C \omega_o \tau \eqno (9) $$ , ~$\pi=\alpha \ln S+\beta$ ~$\pi'=\alpha' \ln S+\beta$. ~(9) ; : \example 1. ၀ . 䎐 $$ \pi=\ceil{\ln S/ \ln P}-1, \quad \pi'=\ceil{\ln S / \ln P}/P $$ $P\hbox{-}$ $2P$~. %%398 \example 2. . ~$\pi'\approx\pi$, , . .~5.4.2-1 ~$\alpha=0.795$, $\beta=0.846-2$. ( "$-2$" - , .) ~(9) , ~$\rho N C \omega_i \tau +\delta$. \example 3. .  ~5.4.3-1 ~$\alpha=0.773$, $\beta=0.808-2$. ; , ~$\pi'=\pi$ . ~2, ~(9) . \example 4. . .~5.4.2-5 ~$\alpha=0.752$, $\beta=1.024-2$. , ~$(\rho N C \omega_i \tau + \delta)$ (36\% ~$2\rho N C \omega \tau$). ~$0.18$ ~$\beta$, . \example 5. . , .~5.4.3-1 ~$T=5$, ~$\alpha=0.897$, $\beta=0.800-2$. . ~$1/g$ , $g$~ " ". ~$d_k d_{n-k}$ (.~.~5.4.3-5), , $T$~ $$ (2/(2T-1))(1-\cos(4\pi/(2T-1))) $$ . ~($T=5$) ${2\over 9}(1-\cos 80^\circ)\approx 0.183$~, $0.946\ln S+0.796-2$~. \example 6. ၀ . ~1, , . , . ~$1/2$ , ~$\pi'=1/(2P)$. \example 7. .   , $P$~, ~(3) ~$S$. (.~.~5.4.1-24) ~$S=\ceil{N(3+1/P)6P'}+1$. , .~5.4.2-1 ~$\alpha=0.863$, $\beta=0.921-2$. \example 8. . .~5.4.3-1 ~$\alpha=0.897$, $\beta=0.800-2$. [" " " "] ~$1/(2P)$ , . \example 9. . ; ~$P-1$ ~$2P-1$ ( ~$P$); , , ~$P'(2P-4/3)/P$, ~$S=\ceil{N/((2-4/(3P))P')}+1$. ; , , $P'$~, %% 399 ~$P' C \omega_i \tau$, $S/P$~. , ~6. \example 10. . 풎 , "", , , . , , , ~$\alpha=1/\ln P$, $\beta=0$ ~$\pi'=\pi/P$. , ; ~$P'=M/C$ ~$S=\ceil{N/P'}$. , , , ~$(M+2B)/M$. , ~9, , . , ~(9) ~$2B N C \omega_i \tau /M$. \htable{ ~1}% {ႎ }% {\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip&$#$\bskip\hfil&\hfil$#$\bskip&\hfil$#$\bskip\cr \hbox{} & P & B & P' & S & \omega & \alpha & \beta & \alpha' & \beta' & (9) & \hbox{ ~(9)} & \hbox{ } & \hbox{ } \cr \noalign{\hrule} 1 & 3 & 12500 & 650 & 79& 1.062& 0.910& -1.000& 0.303& 0.000& 1064& & 1064 & 1076 \cr 2 & 5 & 8300 & 734 & 70& 1.094& 0.795& -1.136& 0.795& -1.136& 1010& \rho N C \omega_i \tau + \delta & 1113 & 1103 \cr 3 & 5 & 8300 & 734 & 70& 1.094& 0.773& -1.192& 0.773& -1.192& 972& \rho N C \omega_i \tau + \delta & 1075 & 1127 \cr 4 & 4 & 10000 & 700 & 73& 1.078& 0.752& -0.994& 0.000& 0.720& 844& \rho N C \omega_i \tau + \delta & 947 & 966 \cr 5 & 4 & 10000 & 700 & 73& 1.078& 0.897& -1.200& 0.173& 0.129& 972& & 972 & 992 \cr 6 & 3 & 12500 & 650 & 79& 1.062& 0.910& -1.000& 0.000& 0.167& 981& & 981 & 980 \cr 7 & 4 & 10000 & 700 & 79& 1.078& 0.863& -1.079& 0.000& 0.000& 922& & 922 & 907 \cr 8 & 4 & 10000 & 700 & 73& 1.078& 0.897& -1.200& 0.098& 0.117& 952& & 952 & 949 \cr 9 & 4 & 10000 & 700 & 87& 1.078& 0.721& -1.000& 0.000& 0.125& 846& P'S C \omega_i \tau /P & 874 & 928 \cr 10& 4 & 10000 & \hfill-\hfill & 100& 1.078& 0.721& 0.000& 0.180& 0.000& 1095& 2BNC\omega_i\tau/M & 1131 & 1158 \cr \noalign{\hrule} }  .~1 , , 50~. 䎐 ~2 ~3 , , ! , , .~85 ( ), ; ~$14\le S \le 15$ ~$43\le S \le 55$ "" ~15 ~55, ~5.4.2D ~$S\le 100$. ~$S\to\infty$, ~$S$ ~$\infty$. ~9 ; , , ~$S$ . \section . ᅉ : %%400 \bye